Sofascore Prediction:
The Bulgarian Super Cup final between Ludogorets and Levski Sofia looks set to be a tense and closely-fought derby. Based on statistical models and recent history, a draw within 90 minutes is a strong possibility.
Here is a quick comparison of the two teams:
| Aspect | Ludogorets | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Current League Form | 2nd/3rd (37 pts) | 1st (44 pts) |
| Recent Form (Last 6) | 4 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss | 3 Wins, 2 Draws, 1 Loss |
| Head-to-Head Trend | Last 6 meetings all ended in draws | Last 6 meetings all ended in draws |
| Key Absence | Midfielder Aguibou Camara (injury) | – |
Key Match Insights
- The Draw is a Strong Pattern: The most compelling statistic is that the last six competitive meetings between these two rivals have all ended in draws. Three of their most recent matches in the 2024/25 season finished 1-1 and 2-2.
- Season Context: This is a one-off cup final, but league form provides context. Levski Sofia went into the winter break as the clear league leader, seven points ahead of Ludogorets. However, Ludogorets has much more experience in winning domestic trophies.
- Contrasting Styles & Predictions: Analysis of their seasons shows Levski’s matches have a higher average of 2.89 goals, with both teams scoring 42% of the time. Ludogorets’ games average 2.53 goals, with both teams scoring less frequently (37%). This informs different expert views:
- Some statistical models calculate a 59% probability for a draw, with a 2-2 scoreline as a common correct score prediction.
- Other previews note Levski’s excellent form (10 wins in last 12 games) but still lean towards a Ludogorets victory, citing their big-game pedigree.
- A third common prediction is for a 1-1 draw, expecting another tight encounter where both teams score.
Final Prediction
Given the overwhelming recent history of draws in this fixture and the high-stakes, single-match nature of a Super Cup final, the most statistically sound prediction is for the match to be drawn after 90 minutes.
A 1-1 scoreline is a very plausible outcome. However, with both teams capable of scoring, a 2-2 draw also has significant probability.
Odds Comparison
For the Bulgarian Super Cup final on February 3, 2026, Ludogorets is slightly favored over Levski Sofia across major bookmakers. Current 1X2 market odds range from 2.40 to 2.80 for a Ludogorets victory, while a Levski Sofia win is priced between 2.50 and 2.90.
Match Odds Comparison (1X2)
The following table compares the current match winner odds from various platforms for the final scheduled at 16:00 UTC.
| Bookmaker | Ludogorets (1) | Draw (X) | Levski Sofia (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportyTrader | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Flashscore | 2.57 | 3.04 | 2.78 |
| RatingBet | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.54 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.95 | 2.75 |
Alternative Betting Markets
Punters are also looking at goal-related and secondary markets for this high-stakes final:
- Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5): The “Under 2.5 Goals” market is currently favored at odds of approximately 1.75, while “Over 2.5 Goals” stands at 2.02.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Odds for both teams to find the net are around 1.60 (Yes) vs 2.30 (No).
- Team to Score First: Ludogorets is at -115 to open the scoring, compared to +110 for Levski Sofia.Â
Head-to-Head & Context
- Historical Edge: Ludogorets holds a significant historical advantage with 29 wins compared to Levski Sofia’s 9 wins in their head-to-head history.
- Venue: The match is being held at the National Stadium Vasil Levski in Sofia.
- Missing Players: Ludogorets will be without Aguibou Camara due to injury, while Levski Sofia is reported to have a fully fit squad.Â
Injuries Report
For the Bulgarian Super Cup final on February 3, 2026, Ludogorets enters the match with one major confirmed absence, while Levski Sofia is reported to have a fully fit squad.Â
Injury Overview
| Team | Player | Injury/Reason | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | Aguibou Camara | Surgery (Knee/Other) | Out (Expected return: April 2026) |
| Levski Sofia | None reported | N/A | Full Squad Available |
Team Details
- Ludogorets Razgrad: The most significant loss is attacking midfielder Aguibou Camara, who remains sidelined following surgery. His expected return date is currently set for April 12, 2026. Other key players, including Rwan Cruz, who recently returned to the squad in January, are expected to be available for selection.
- Levski Sofia: Reports indicate no major injury concerns or unavailable players for this final. Recent probable lineups suggest a full-strength side including key players like Georgi Kostadinov and Mazire Soula.Â