Palmeiras defeated Corinthians 1–0 in a heated “Derby Paulista” on Sunday night, February 8, 2026, at the Neo QuÃmica Arena. Flaco López scored the decisive goal in the 84th minute, securing Palmeiras’ spot in the knockout stage of the 2026 Campeonato Paulista (Paulistão).
Match Highlights
- Missed Penalty: Corinthians had a prime opportunity to take the lead in the first half when they were awarded a penalty for a foul by Carlos Miguel on Gustavo Henrique. However, Memphis Depay slipped during his run-up—possibly influenced by Andreas Pereira scuffing the penalty spot—causing his shot to miss.
- The Winning Goal: In the 84th minute, Flaco López broke the deadlock. His celebration, which included kicking the corner flag in front of the home fans, sparked a scuffle between players and substitutes from both teams.
- Game Flow: Corinthians controlled the majority of ball possession (61%) and generated more volume in the first half, but they struggled with clinical finishing. Palmeiras’ defense held firm, and Vitor Roque was noted as one of their most aggressive attacking threats before the late winner.
- Attendance: A crowd of 45,660 spectators attended the match at the Neo QuÃmica Arena.Â
Match Statistics
| Statistic | Corinthians | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Score | 0 | 1 |
| Possession | 61% | 39% |
| Total Shots | 13 | 8 |
| Shots on Target | 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks | 4 | 4 |
Betting Review
Palmeiras secured a narrow 1–0 victory over Corinthians on February 8, 2026, a result that favored pre-match betting models predicting a Palmeiras win. Despite Corinthians dominating possession (61%), the match was a significant loss for those backing the home side or “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS) markets.
Market Performance & Odds
Before kickoff, bookmakers had both teams closely priced, reflecting the intense rivalry:
- Match Winner (1X2): Palmeiras closed around 2.50, rewarding bettors who backed the away win.
- Correct Score: The 0–1 result was a high-value outcome, often priced at approximately 6/1 to 7/1 pre-match.
- Under/Over 2.5 Goals: The match comfortably hit the Under 2.5 market, which was a common trend for these teams in recent fixtures leading up to the derby.Â
Key Betting Turning Points
- Memphis Depay Penalty Miss: In the first half, a penalty was awarded to Corinthians. Memphis Depay slipped during his run-up—allegedly due to Andreas Pereira scuffing the penalty spot—causing him to miss. This was a massive “bad beat” for anyone who bet on Corinthians to score first or Depay to score anytime.
- Late Winner: Flaco López scored the only goal in the 84th minute, securing the win for Palmeiras and the “Under 1.5 goals” outcome for those who played that specific market.Â
Pre-Match Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker (A) | Bookmaker (B) | Final Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians Win | 2.63 | 2.71 | Loss |
| Draw | 3.00 | 2.94 | Loss |
| Palmeiras Win | 2.50 | 2.49 | Won |
| Under 1.5 Goals | ~2.80 | ~2.75 | Won |
| BTTS – No | ~1.85 | ~1.80 | Won |