Alianza Lima drew 1-1 with Club Sportivo 2 de Mayo on February 12, 2026, resulting in Alianza Lima’s elimination from the CONMEBOL Libertadores after a 2-1 aggregate loss.
Match Highlights
The second leg of the first qualifying round was played at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in Lima.
- First Half: The match remained scoreless at halftime (0-0), though Alianza Lima dominated possession and missed several chances, including a penalty missed by Eryc Castillo.
- Opening Goal: Luis Advíncula gave Alianza Lima the lead in the 63rd minute with a powerful finish, leveling the aggregate score at 1-1.
- The Equalizer: 2 de Mayo responded in the 74th minute when Wilson Brahian Ayala converted a penalty, restoring their aggregate lead.
- Result: Despite late pressure and multiple saves by 2 de Mayo goalkeeper Ángel Martínez, Alianza Lima could not find a second goal.
Statistical Comparison (Second Leg)
| Statistic | Alianza Lima | CS 2 de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Score | 1 | 1 |
| Aggregate Score | 1 | 2 |
| Goal Scorers | L. Advíncula (63′) | B. Ayala (74′ pen) |
| Yellow Cards | P. Guerrero, J. Vélez, A. Duarte | A. Gómez |
Lineups
- Alianza Lima: Duarte; Advíncula, Garcés, Antoni, Carbajal; Chávez, Vélez; Castillo, Girotti, Gentile; Guerrero.
- CS 2 de Mayo: Martínez; Castro, Saiz, Sosa, Dávalos; Díaz, Delvalle, Gómez, Romero, Alfonso; Ruiz Díaz.
Betting Review
The 1-1 draw between Alianza Lima and Club Sportivo 2 de Mayo on February 12, 2026, was a major betting upset, as Alianza Lima entered the match as heavy favorites with odds as low as -274 (1.33). While the 1-1 correct score was identified by analysts as the most likely drawn outcome (10.52% probability), the result ultimately favored “Under 2.5 Goals” bettors and led to Alianza Lima’s elimination from the Copa Libertadores.
Betting Market Performance
| Market | Closing Odds (Approx.) | Result | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner (1X2) | Alianza Lima (-274) / Draw (+375) | 1-1 | Draw Wins |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over (+107) / Under (-140) | 2 Total Goals | Under Wins |
| Both Teams to Score | Yes (-110) | Yes | Winner |
| Correct Score | 1-1 (+650) | 1-1 | Winner |
Key Betting Insights
- The Heavy Favorite Fails: Alianza Lima was widely expected to win and overturn their 1-0 first-leg deficit. Bookmakers gave them a 58.56% win probability, but their inability to convert 66.7% possession into a victory resulted in a payout for Draw (+375) and 2 de Mayo (+700) double-chance bettors.
- Total Goals (Under 2.5): Despite Alianza Lima’s trend of high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 4 of their last 4), 2 de Mayo’s “stingy” defensive style prevailed. The Under 2.5 goals line at -140 was the successful play for the second consecutive leg.
- Live Betting Impact: Alianza Lima led 1-0 in the 63rd minute, briefly leveling the aggregate score. However, a 74th-minute penalty by Wilson Brahian Ayala shifted the betting landscape significantly, rewarding those who backed 2 de Mayo to score or for the match to end in a draw.
- Qualification Odds: 2 de Mayo entered the tie as significant underdogs to progress. Their 2-1 aggregate victory rewarded long-shot qualification bettors, as Alianza Lima was favored at roughly 21/50 to advance prior to the match.