Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Colgate Raiders Basketball Prediction (Men’s Game – February 12, 2025)
Game Overview
- Date & Time: Wednesday, February 12, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
- Location: Hart Center, Worcester, Massachusetts (Holy Cross home court)
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Odds:
- Spread: Colgate -3.5 (opening line)
- Over/Under: 145.5 points
- Moneyline: Colgate -160, Holy Cross +138
Key Insights
- Team Form
- Colgate Raiders (10-15, 7-5 Patriot League):
- Recently snapped a four-game losing streak with an 82-68 win over Loyola (MD) but lost 4 of their last 5 games. Offensively, they average 70.8 PPG but allow 72.2 PPG defensively .
- Key Players:
- Jeff Woodward: 14.7 PPG, 7.6 RPG .
- Nicolas Louis-Jacques: 11.7 PPG, 2.0 3PM per game .
- Holy Cross Crusaders (12-13, 4-8 Patriot League):
- Coming off a dominant 72-52 win over Boston University but lost 7 of their last 9 games. They average 69.2 PPG and allow 70.1 PPG .
- Key Players:
- Max Green: 14.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 3.7 APG .
- Joe Nugent: 12.0 PPG, 2.6 3PM per game .
- Home Advantage & Trends
- Holy Cross has won 4 of its last 5 home night games at Hart Center .
- Colgate struggles on the road, losing three straight away games .
- Statistical Matchup
- Offense:
- Colgate shoots 45.7% FG, 35% 3PT .
- Holy Cross shoots 45.9% FG, 38.1% 3PT (top 80 nationally) .
- Defense:
- Colgate allows opponents to shoot 37.3% from three, a weakness Holy Cross (38.1% 3PT) could exploit .
- Predictions & Models
- Dimers.com: Projects Colgate winning 74-72 (61% win probability) .
- NCAAGameSim.com: Colgate wins 64% of simulations (avg. score: 74-69) .
- Bleacher Nation: Predicts Holy Cross 71-70, citing their home edge and Colgate’s defensive struggles .
- Betting Trends
- Holy Cross is 11-6 ATS as a 2.5+ point underdog .
- The total points average for both teams (140) is below the 145.5 O/U line, suggesting a lower-scoring game .
Final Prediction
- Spread: Holy Cross +3.5 (covering due to home court and Colgate’s road struggles) .
- Moneyline: Slight edge to Colgate (61% simulated win probability) in a close contest .
- Over/Under: Under 145.5 (both teams average below the line, and recent trends show lower-scoring games) .
Projected Score: Colgate 72, Holy Cross 70 .
Key Factors: Holy Cross’s three-point shooting and home advantage vs. Colgate’s rebounding and slight offensive efficiency. Expect a tight game decided in the final minutes.
Bovada Odds: Holy Cross Crusaders 136, Colgate Raiders -162