According to multiple predictions and betting odds for the Wuhan Open final on October 12, 2025, Coco Gauff is the favorite to win, though Jessica Pegula is seen as a strong contender who could pose a significant challenge .
The table below summarizes the key information for this match.
| Aspect | Jessica Pegula | Coco Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Ranking | 6 | 3 |
| 2025 Match Record | 50-18 | 42-14 |
| Tournament Path to Final | Defeated Sabalenka in a 3-set semifinal | Did not drop a set; “bagel” win in semifinal |
| Odds to Win | +125 to +140 (Underdog) | -150 to -167 (Favorite) |
| Predicted Win Probability | 43% | 57% – 58% |
Match Prediction & Analysis
Most models and analysts lean towards a Gauff victory, but they also highlight factors that could make it a very close match.
- Coco Gauff’s Current Form: Gauff has been dominant in Wuhan, not losing a single set on her way to the final. Her semifinal performance was particularly impressive. Her strong return game and serve improvements make her a formidable opponent on hard courts .
- Jessica Pegula’s Strengths: Pegula is known for her gritty, consistent play and has shown remarkable resilience. She saved match points in an earlier round and staged a impressive comeback against top-seeded Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinals . She also holds a 4-2 lead in her head-to-head record against Gauff, which could give her a psychological edge .
- Expected Match Dynamic: Given their history and styles, this final is expected to be highly competitive. Many predictions suggest the match could be long and close, with a high probability of over 21.5 total games and both players winning a set .