Bellarmine Knights vs Queens Royals Basketball Prediction (February 13, 2025)
Here’s a detailed analysis and prediction for the upcoming ASUN Conference matchup between the Bellarmine Knights and Queens Royals:
Game Overview
- Date/Time: February 13, 2025, 6:30 PM EST
- Venue: Knights Hall, Louisville, Kentucky
- Records:
- Queens Royals: 15-10 (8-4 ASUN)
- Bellarmine Knights: 3-22 (0-12 ASUN)
- Odds: Queens -6.5 | Over/Under: 150.5
Key Factors Influencing the Prediction
- Team Performance Trends
- Queens:
- Won 3 of their last 4 games and rank 5th in the ASUN standings .
- Average 76.0 PPG (128th nationally) and allow 73.2 PPG .
- Strong rebounding (38.2 rebounds per game, 1st in ASUN) and shot-blocking (5.2 blocks per game, led by Malcolm Wilson’s 3.5 blocks) .
- Key players: Leo Colimerio (13.7 PPG, 5.1 RPG) and Chris Ashby (11.6 PPG, 3.2 three-pointers per game) .
- Bellarmine:
- On a 15-game losing streak and winless in conference play .
- Allow 80.8 PPG (350th nationally) and rank last in rebounds (26.7 per game) .
- Top scorer Jack Karasinski (16.3 PPG) and guard Billy Smith (14.0 PPG, 2.6 three-pointers per game) .
- Head-to-Head and Recent Form
- Queens defeated Bellarmine in their last meeting (85-75 in 2024) .
- Bellarmine’s defense has allowed 81+ points in 4 of their last 5 games , while Queens has held opponents to ≤70 points in 3 of their last 4 .
- Queens’ offense performs better on the road (82.3 PPG at home vs. 67.9 away), but Bellarmine’s home defense is porous (75.4 PPG allowed at home) .
- Betting Trends
- Queens is 13-10 ATS this season, covering in 6 of their last 10 games .
- Bellarmine is 7-17 ATS and 0-10 in their last 10 games .
- The total points line (150.5) leans slightly toward the under, as both teams average 147.5 combined PPG . However, Bellarmine’s weak defense could push the game over.
Prediction
- Final Score: Queens 80, Bellarmine 71
- Spread: Queens -6.5 (likely to cover) .
- Over/Under: Lean Over 150.5 due to Bellarmine’s defensive struggles .
Key Insights:
- Queens’ rebounding and shot-blocking will dominate Bellarmine’s undersized frontcourt.
- Bellarmine’s offense relies on three-point shooting (35.4% as a team), but Queens’ perimeter defense (allowing 32.0% from deep) can limit this threat .
- Queens’ depth and momentum in conference play make them the clear favorite to extend Bellarmine’s losing streak.
Bovada Moneyline: Bellarmine Knights 210, Queens Royals -258