Associação Portuguesa de Desportos defeated Mirassol Futebol Clube 2-1 in their Paulista Série A1 match on February 15, 2026.
Match Summary
The game took place at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia in Mirassol, Brazil. Despite Mirassol controlling a significant portion of the match with 75% possession, Portuguesa secured the away victory.
- Early Lead: Mirassol opened the scoring early in the first half. Negueba found the back of the net in the 6th minute with a right-footed shot from outside the box, assisted by Neto Moura.
- Portuguesa Comeback: Portuguesa responded to overturn the deficit and secure three points, moving them to 4th position in the standings, while Mirassol sits in 11th.
Match Statistics
| Statistic | Mirassol | Portuguesa |
|---|---|---|
| Score | 1 | 2 |
| Possession | 75% | 25% |
| Shots on Goal | 1 | – |
| Shot Attempts | 2 | – |
| Corner Kicks | 1 | 0 |
Betting Review
The match between Mirassol and Portuguesa on February 15, 2026, resulted in a 1-2 away victory for Portuguesa, representing a significant “underdog” win based on pre-match betting odds.
Pre-Match Betting Odds
Mirassol entered the game as the clear favorite, with a roughly 62% to 75% implied probability of winning.
- Match Result (1X2):
- Mirassol: ~1/2 to 62/100 (Favorites)
- Draw: ~27/10 to 11/5
- Portuguesa: ~4/1 to 24/5 (Longshots)
- Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5): Most bookmakers favored the “Under” or “Over 1.5” lines, but the three-goal total resulted in an Over 2.5 win for bettors.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Odds for “Yes” were roughly 1/1, providing a successful payout.
Betting Outcome Summary
| Market | Selection | Result | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full-Time Result | Portuguesa | 1-2 | Winner |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | 3 Goals | Winner |
| BTTS | Yes | Both Scored | Winner |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | 1-2 | Winner |
| Handicap | Portuguesa +1.5 | Covered | Winner |
Key Betting Insights
- ** possession vs. Result:** Despite Mirassol holding 75% possession, they failed to convert dominance into a win, frustrating those who backed them at short odds.
- Early Goal Impact: Mirassol’s goal in the 6th minute likely drove “Live Odds” even further in their favor, making the eventual Portuguesa comeback a high-value result for in-play bettors.
- Underdog Value: Portuguesa’s win rewarded bettors with returns as high as 4/1 (+400) on the moneyline.